According to a new analysis by the World Weather Attribution (WWA) initiative, the human-caused climate crisis had a significant impact on recent extreme heat waves in the United States, Europe, and China. According to CNN, the relentless heat experienced in parts of the Northern Hemisphere this July, with temperatures breaking records and causing devastating effects, has been linked to climate change.
The WWA claims that without climate change, the sweltering heat waves in the US and southern Europe would have been nearly impossible, while in China, the same phenomenon increased the likelihood of a heat wave by at least 50 times.
World Weather Attribution Initiative Analyzes Deadly Heat Hell in US, Europe, and China
Scientists from the WWA spent a week examining the data and models to assess how climate change impacted the intensity and probability of these extreme heat events. The current global climate, around 1.2 degrees Celsius warmer than pre-industrial levels, was compared to past climate data to determine the effects.
Their findings indicate that climate change's role in these heat waves is undeniably substantial. The rise in global temperatures due to human activities, primarily the burning of fossil fuels, has made such blistering heat waves more frequent and severe.
Friederike Otto, a senior lecturer in climate science at the Grantham Institute for Climate Change and the Environment at Imperial College London, emphasized that without human-induced global warming, these extreme heat waves would be rare occurrences. However, as fossil fuel consumption continues, they are becoming increasingly common.
The analysis shows that in today's climate, extreme heat waves are expected to occur approximately every 15 years in the US and Mexico, every 10 years in Southern Europe, and every five years in China.
Moreover, the report reveals that climate change has not only increased the likelihood of these heat waves but has also intensified their temperatures. Planet-heating pollution has made Europe's heat wave 2.5 degrees Celsius hotter, North America's 2 degrees Celsius hotter, and China's 1 degree Celsius hotter.
Heat Waves Becoming More Frequent and Severe - A Wake-Up Call for Climate Action
The outlook is concerning, with projections suggesting that if global temperatures rise by 2 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels, extreme heat waves can be expected every two to five years.
Despite the attribution of these heat waves to climate change, the report does not indicate "runaway warming" or "climate collapse." However, the situation calls for immediate action to curb fossil fuel emissions and invest in vulnerability reduction to secure a safe and healthy future.
Heat waves are already among the deadliest natural hazards, resulting in thousands of deaths each year. Urgent efforts are needed to mitigate their impacts through reducing pollution and implementing heat action plans. Adaptations in health, urban planning, and energy systems are also crucial to better coping with the extreme heat already locked in by the climate crisis.
As climate change continues to influence weather patterns, it is essential to acknowledge that warming climates amplify moderate heat waves into extreme events. Without significant and rapid actions to combat global warming, the world will face more frequent and severe heat waves, endangering lives and exacerbating the impacts on societies and ecosystems.